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What will be the outcome of U.S.-Panama negotiations over canal fees by 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
U.S. gains control of canal • 25%
Panama reduces fees • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from the U.S. or Panama governments or credible news agencies
Story
Trump Threatens to Reclaim Panama Canal Over Overcharging, Citing Monroe Doctrine
Dec 21, 2024, 11:46 PM
President Donald Trump has announced intentions to potentially reclaim control of the Panama Canal if Panama does not cease what he describes as overcharging U.S. ships. In a series of statements, Trump emphasized that he views the current management of the canal as a 'complete ripoff' and has threatened to demand its return to U.S. ownership. This announcement aligns with his broader approach to foreign policy, reminiscent of the Monroe Doctrine. The remarks were made in the context of ongoing discussions about international trade and U.S. interests in the region.
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Fees reduced • 25%
Fees remain unchanged • 25%
Fees increased • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
U.S. regains control • 25%
Panama retains control with fee reduction • 25%
Joint control agreement • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Panama agrees to U.S. demands • 25%
Negotiations continue without resolution • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Demand fee reduction • 25%
Reclaim canal • 25%
Negotiate new treaty • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Panama lowers tariffs • 25%
U.S. imposes sanctions • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other diplomatic resolution • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Worsened relations • 25%
No change • 25%
Other • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Military presence increase • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
No significant action • 25%