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Will the U.S. demand the return of the Panama Canal by the end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Official statements from the U.S. government or announcements from credible news agencies
Story
Trump Threatens to Reclaim Panama Canal Over Overcharging, Citing Monroe Doctrine
Dec 21, 2024, 11:46 PM
President Donald Trump has announced intentions to potentially reclaim control of the Panama Canal if Panama does not cease what he describes as overcharging U.S. ships. In a series of statements, Trump emphasized that he views the current management of the canal as a 'complete ripoff' and has threatened to demand its return to U.S. ownership. This announcement aligns with his broader approach to foreign policy, reminiscent of the Monroe Doctrine. The remarks were made in the context of ongoing discussions about international trade and U.S. interests in the region.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Support for U.S. demands • 25%
Opposition to U.S. demands • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Reclaim control • 25%
Increase military presence • 25%
Impose economic sanctions • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Panama agrees to U.S. demands • 25%
Negotiations continue without resolution • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Demand return of the canal • 25%
Negotiate lower fees • 25%
Increase tariffs on Panama • 25%
No significant action • 25%
U.S. regains control • 25%
Panama retains control with fee reduction • 25%
Joint control agreement • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%