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Primary US government entity driving TikTok decision by January 19, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
White House • 25%
Department of Commerce • 25%
Congress • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements or reports from government entities
Story
Senators Urge Biden to Extend ByteDance's TikTok Divestment Deadline by 90 Days to January 19
Dec 20, 2024, 02:28 AM
Democratic Senator Ed Markey and Republican Senator Rand Paul have urged President Joe Biden to extend the January 19 deadline for China-based ByteDance to divest its U.S. assets related to the short-video app TikTok. The senators are requesting a 90-day extension, arguing that the current deadline requires ByteDance to sell its U.S. operations or face a potential ban. They noted that the law permits such an extension only if there is evidence of significant progress toward executing the divestiture, which they claim does not exist due to the Chinese Communist Party's refusal to allow ByteDance to proceed with the sale.
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Permanent Ban • 25%
Temporary Allowance • 25%
Unrestricted Operation • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Ban reversed • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other action • 25%
Ban TikTok • 25%
Force divestiture • 25%
Impose fines • 25%
No action • 25%
Immediate ban • 25%
Grace period for sale • 25%
Conditional operation with restrictions • 25%
No enforcement action • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
No resolution • 25%
National security concerns • 25%
Economic interests • 25%
Political negotiations • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Ban halted, TikTok remains under current ownership • 25%
Ban halted, TikTok secures new non-China-based owner • 25%
Ban enforced, TikTok exits U.S. market • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok banned • 33%
TikTok sold • 33%
No action taken • 33%
Ban enforced • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Mandate extended • 25%
Mandate modified • 25%
U.S. Government • 25%
U.S. Courts • 25%
TikTok's legal team • 25%
Other entity • 25%
Security concerns resolved • 25%
Security concerns unresolved • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Ongoing litigation • 25%