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Outcome of Turkish-Kurdish conflict in Syria by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Turkish military victory • 25%
Kurdish forces maintain control • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Reports from international news agencies and official announcements
Story
Erdoğan Demands PKK/YPG Kurdish Militants Lay Down Arms by December 25, 2024, or Face Burial in Syrian Soil
Dec 25, 2024, 10:11 AM
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan has issued a stark ultimatum to Kurdish militants in Syria, stating they must either lay down their arms or face being buried in Syrian soil alongside their weapons. This declaration was made during a live address on December 25, 2024, where Erdoğan emphasized the seriousness of the situation regarding the PKK/YPG groups, which are designated as terrorists by Turkey. The remarks reflect Turkey's ongoing military stance against Kurdish forces in the region.
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Significant territorial gains • 25%
Minor skirmishes, no significant change • 25%
Withdrawal from contested areas • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Increased military engagement • 25%
Diplomatic resolution with SDF • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Successful Constitutional Reform • 25%
Increased Security Cooperation • 25%
Deterioration in Relations • 25%
Status Quo Maintained • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Continued military conflict • 25%
Ceasefire without formal agreement • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Complete success • 25%
Partial success • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Failure • 25%
SDF regains control • 25%
Turkey gains control • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Complete elimination • 25%
Partial reduction • 25%
No significant change • 25%
PKK/YPG gains strength • 25%
Increased territorial control • 25%
Withdrawal of forces • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Complete success with full control established • 25%
Partial success with some areas controlled • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Failure with loss of territory • 25%
Ceasefire reached • 25%
Continued military engagement • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Other • 25%
Agreement on de-escalation measures • 25%
Continued diplomatic stalemate • 25%
Increased tensions leading to sanctions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Turkey gains control of Kobani • 25%
Kurdish forces retain control • 25%
Stalemate with no clear control • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
No agreement, continued tensions • 25%
Military escalation • 25%
Other outcome • 25%