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Outcome of PKK/YPG conflict with Turkey by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
PKK/YPG disarms • 25%
PKK/YPG eliminated • 25%
Stalemate continues • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements and reports from Turkish government and international news agencies
Story
Erdogan: PKK/YPG Must Disarm or Face Elimination as Turkey Dismantles Terror Corridor
Jan 10, 2025, 03:29 PM
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has declared that PKK/YPG separatist terrorists in Syria face only two options: to renounce terrorism and lay down their arms or face inevitable elimination. Speaking at the AK Party Aydın 8th Ordinary Provincial Congress, Erdogan emphasized that Turkey's cross-border operations have successfully dismantled a terrorist corridor in northern Syria at four different points. He also noted that with the Syrian opposition's efforts to liberate Damascus, the separatist terrorists are increasingly cornered and are seeking new patrons. Erdogan's statements underline Turkey's ongoing commitment to combat terrorism and its strategic operations in the region.
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Partial reduction • 25%
PKK/YPG gains strength • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Complete elimination • 25%
No success • 25%
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Complete success • 25%
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Minimal impact • 25%
PKK/YPG strengthens • 25%
Complete eradication • 25%
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Complete eradication of YPG presence • 25%
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Successful elimination of PKK/YPG presence • 25%
Operation not conducted • 25%
No significant impact on PKK/YPG presence • 25%
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YPG strengthens • 25%
YPG fully eliminated • 25%
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Partial elimination • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Complete success • 25%
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Lay down arms and integrate into society • 25%
Remain active in reduced capacity • 25%
Exiled from Syria • 25%
Join other militant groups • 25%
Military operation conducted • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Diplomatic resolution reached • 25%
PKK/YPG leadership leaves voluntarily • 25%
Successful elimination of PKK/YPG presence • 25%
Increased PKK/YPG activities • 25%
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No significant change • 25%
Significant reduction in PKK/YPG activity • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No significant change in PKK/YPG activity • 25%
Increase in PKK/YPG activity • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
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Turkish military victory • 25%
Kurdish forces maintain control • 25%