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Outcome for Syrian PKK/YPG members by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Lay down arms and integrate into society • 25%
Join other militant groups • 25%
Exiled from Syria • 25%
Remain active in reduced capacity • 25%
Reports from international human rights organizations, official statements from Syrian government
Story
Turkey's Defense Minister Yaşar Güler: PKK/YPG to be Dismantled in Syria with New Administration's Support
Dec 15, 2024, 09:05 AM
Turkish Defense Minister Yaşar Güler announced that the PKK/YPG terrorist organization will be dismantled in Syria as part of a new era. He emphasized that this decision aligns with the interests of both the new Syrian administration and Turkey. Güler stated that members of the organization coming from outside Syria will be required to leave, while those who are Syrian will be expected to lay down their arms. He reiterated that there are no issues between Turkey and the Kurdish population living in Iraq or Syria, clarifying that the focus remains solely on the PKK/YPG. Güler expressed readiness to provide support if requested by the new Syrian government, underlining the collaborative approach to addressing the threat posed by the PKK/YPG.
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Complete elimination • 25%
Partial reduction • 25%
No significant change • 25%
PKK/YPG gains strength • 25%
Significantly diminished • 25%
Moderately diminished • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
Increased • 25%
YPG fully eliminated • 25%
Partial elimination • 25%
No significant change • 25%
YPG strengthens • 25%
Successful elimination of PKK/YPG presence • 25%
Significant reduction of PKK/YPG activities • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased PKK/YPG activities • 25%
Complete success • 25%
Partial success • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Failure • 25%
YPG disbanded • 25%
YPG relocated • 25%
YPG remains • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Significant reduction in PKK/YPG activity • 25%
No significant change in PKK/YPG activity • 25%
Increase in PKK/YPG activity • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Strengthen opposition • 25%
Weaken opposition • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Other impact • 25%
Defeated • 25%
Significantly weakened • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
Strengthened • 25%
Strengthens collaboration • 25%
Reduces collaboration • 25%
Ends collaboration • 25%
No change • 25%
Continued military action • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Policy remains unchanged • 25%
New strategy announced • 25%