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Market
Outcome of 'Freedom Edge' military drills
2
South Korea•Japan•United States•Freedom Edge•North Korea•Pyongyang•Seoul•Joint Chiefs of Staff•JCS•Yonhap•Republic of Korea•ROK
Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful completion without incidents • 33%
Minor incidents reported • 33%
Major incidents or confrontations reported • 33%
Summaries from South Korea's Joint Chiefs of Staff (JCS), US Department of Defense, and Japanese Ministry of Defense, as well as credible news sources like Yonhap
Story
South Korea, Japan, and US Begin 'Freedom Edge' Military Drills on June 27 to Counter North Korean Threats
Jun 27, 2024, 09:16 AM
South Korea, Japan, and the United States have commenced the 'Freedom Edge' military drills, marking the first trilateral exercise of its kind. The joint exercises, which began on June 27, are aimed at countering growing threats from North Korea. The drills are being conducted to enhance the allies' readiness and interoperability in response to Pyongyang's increasing military provocations. Seoul’s Joint Chiefs of Staff (JCS) confirmed the initiation of these significant military maneuvers. Yonhap reported that the Republic of Korea (ROK) is actively participating in these drills.
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China ends exercises unilaterally • 25%
Exercises continue into 2025 • 25%
Exercises end after diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Exercises escalate to military conflict • 25%
Increased military tension • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased tensions but no military conflict • 25%
Formal diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Military conflict initiated • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Exercises conclude peacefully • 25%
Increased military tension • 25%
Formal diplomatic protests • 25%
Other • 25%
Rebel victory with significant territorial gains • 25%
Government victory regaining lost territories • 25%
Ongoing conflict with no clear victor • 25%
Negotiated ceasefire • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Calls for dialogue • 25%
Support for China's actions • 25%
No official reaction • 25%
De-escalation and withdrawal • 25%
Continued military standoff • 25%
Increased military engagement • 25%
Formal negotiations initiated • 25%
Increased tensions with Taiwan • 25%
Improved military capabilities • 25%
International diplomatic backlash • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
De-escalation • 25%
Continued military presence • 25%
Increased military activity • 25%
Other • 25%
De-escalation and cessation of drills • 25%
Continuation with no further escalation • 25%
Increased military presence by China • 25%
Direct military conflict initiated • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Diplomatic protests • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Successful with no incidents • 25%
Successful with minor incidents • 25%
Unsuccessful with major incidents • 25%
Other • 25%