Market
Will the U.S. initiate formal negotiations with Panama over the Panama Canal by end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the U.S. Department of State or the Panamanian government
Story
Trump Vows to 'Take Back' Panama Canal from China, Calling It a 'Foolish Gift'
Jan 20, 2025, 05:35 PM
During his inauguration speech on January 20, 2025, U.S. President Donald Trump announced that the United States will "take back" the Panama Canal, marking a significant shift in U.S. foreign policy. Trump claimed that China is operating the canal and that American ships are being overcharged for its use. He stated, "We didn't give it to China; we gave it to Panama, and we're taking it back." Describing the transfer as a "foolish gift that should never have been made," Trump asserted that the U.S. has been "treated very badly" in this matter. He proclaimed, "The golden age of America begins right now," signaling his intent to restore U.S. control over the strategic waterway.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No negotiations initiated • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Panama rejects U.S. control • 25%
Panama agrees to U.S. control • 25%
Joint control agreement • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
U.S. regains control • 25%
Panama retains control with fee reduction • 25%