Market
Will the Trump administration be officially linked to the 2020 Venezuela raid by end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official government documents or credible investigative journalism
Story
Former Green Beret Jordan Goudreau Blasts CIA and FBI Over 2020 Venezuela Raid, Faces Federal Charges
Jan 11, 2025, 08:40 PM
Jordan Goudreau, a former Green Beret, has publicly criticized the CIA and FBI for allegedly sabotaging his 2020 mission to overthrow Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro. Goudreau, who is facing federal charges related to arms trafficking, made these claims during a court appearance where his legal team argued that the Trump administration supported the covert operation. The failed raid aimed to remove Maduro from power but ultimately did not succeed, leading to Goudreau's current legal troubles.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Maduro goes into exile • 25%
Maduro is removed but stays in Venezuela • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Not captured • 25%
Unknown outcome • 25%
Captured but not extradited • 25%
Captured and extradited • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Asset Seizures • 25%
Arrests • 25%
Other • 25%
Deportations • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Maduro removed from power • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
Maduro agrees to new elections • 25%
Formal agreement reached • 25%
Initial agreements only • 25%
Relations worsen • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Formal agreement • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
No progress • 25%
Escalation of tensions • 25%
Strong opposition • 25%
Moderate support • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Strong support • 25%
Diplomatic stalemate • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%