Market
Outcome of Grenell's Venezuela mission by December 31, 2025
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Formal agreement • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
No progress • 25%
Escalation of tensions • 25%
Official statements from the US State Department or Venezuelan government
Story
President Trump Appoints Richard Grenell as Envoy for Missions in Venezuela and North Korea
Dec 14, 2024, 11:55 PM
President Donald Trump has appointed Richard Allen Grenell, a close associate, as the Presidential Envoy for Special Missions. Grenell will tackle critical issues in some of the world's most challenging regions, including Venezuela and North Korea. This appointment underscores the trust placed in Grenell to handle complex international matters.
View original story
Similar markets
Relations worsen • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Initial agreements only • 25%
Formal agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Diplomatic stalemate • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Diplomatic Relations Improved • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Relations Deteriorate • 25%
Peace Agreement Signed • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No change • 25%
Significant improvement • 25%
Moderate improvement • 25%
Deterioration • 25%
Venezuelan Foreign Minister • 25%
Other key official • 25%
Venezuelan President • 25%
Venezuelan Chief Prosecutor • 25%
Mission aborted • 25%
Successful agreement reached • 25%
Talks initiated but no agreement • 25%
No mission conducted • 25%
Ongoing political stalemate • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
González Urrutia assumes presidency • 25%
New elections held • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
González assumes presidency • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
New elections announced • 25%