Market
What will be the most significant action against Tren de Aragua by the Trump administration in 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Deportations • 25%
Arrests • 25%
Asset Seizures • 25%
Other • 25%
Official government reports or major news outlets
Story
Trump's Border Czar Warns Tren de Aragua (TdA): 'Your Days Are Numbered' on January 20th
Dec 22, 2024, 05:30 PM
Incoming border czar Tom Homan has issued a stern warning to the violent Venezuelan gang Tren de Aragua, known as 'TdA,' stating that their 'days are numbered' under the incoming Trump administration. Speaking at Turning Point USA's 'AmericaFest' 2024, Homan emphasized that Tren de Aragua is a top priority for deportation, with the gang being 'number one on the list,' followed closely by MS-13. Homan's remarks underscore the Trump administration's intention to aggressively target and dismantle these criminal organizations upon taking office on January 20th.
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No significant action • 25%
Gang dismantled • 25%
Arrests made • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Significant reduction in gang activity • 25%
Increase in gang activity • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Moderate reduction in gang activity • 25%
Prevented entry • 25%
Unclear outcome • 25%
Partially entered • 25%
Successfully entered • 25%
No opinion • 25%
Approve • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Disapprove • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
Maduro is removed but stays in Venezuela • 25%
Maduro goes into exile • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
Maduro removed from power • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Maduro agrees to new elections • 25%
Moderate support • 25%
Strong support • 25%
Strong opposition • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
