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What will be the outcome of Trump's policy towards Maduro by 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Maduro removed from power • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
Maduro agrees to new elections • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements, media reports, and international organization statements
Story
Trump Administration Signals Intent for Regime Change in Venezuela, Targeting Maduro for Election Theft and Threats to Puerto Rico
Jan 18, 2025, 04:55 PM
The incoming administration of Donald Trump is signaling a strong desire for regime change in Venezuela, targeting President Nicolás Maduro. Trump's team has characterized Maduro as a 'criminal' who 'stole his election,' jailed political rivals, and even threatened to invade Puerto Rico. A Trump adviser indicated that the administration would not oppose the idea of Maduro residing alongside Syrian President Bashar al-Assad in Moscow. This stance reflects a broader strategy to isolate Maduro's regime, which is perceived as increasingly vulnerable. The comments suggest that Venezuela will be a significant focus during Trump's second term, with key figures in the administration, including future Secretary of State Marco Rubio, known for their opposition to the Maduro government.
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Maduro goes into exile • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
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Maduro is removed but stays in Venezuela • 25%
Maduro ousted through international intervention • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
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Nicolás Maduro remains president • 25%
Edmundo González becomes president • 25%
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New elections announced • 25%
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González Urrutia recognized as president • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
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