What will be the outcome of the Trump administration's efforts for regime change in Venezuela by the end of 2025?
Maduro remains in power • 25%
Maduro is removed but stays in Venezuela • 25%
Maduro goes into exile • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements by the U.S. government or Venezuelan government, credible news sources like BBC or Reuters
Trump Administration Seeks Regime Change in Venezuela, Cites Assad Comparison and 8 Million Migrants
Jan 18, 2025, 06:34 PM
The incoming Trump administration has expressed its intention to pursue regime change in Venezuela, targeting President Nicolás Maduro. According to multiple sources, Trump's team accuses Maduro of election fraud, jailing political rivals, and threatening to invade Puerto Rico. Advisors have indicated that they aim for Maduro to face a similar fate to that of recently ousted Syrian leader Bashar al-Assad, suggesting exile to Moscow as a possible outcome. While there is no confirmation of military intervention, the administration's goal is to remove Maduro from power. Venezuela, under Maduro's leadership, has faced significant economic and political challenges, including mass migration of nearly 8 million people and allegations of ties to criminal organizations and foreign adversaries such as China, Russia, and Iran. Senator Marco Rubio, a vocal critic of Maduro and Trump's nominee for Secretary of State, has also highlighted Venezuela's deteriorating conditions, including declining oil production, its alignment with adversarial nations, and a past assassination plot against him. The administration's focus on Venezuela has intensified following President Biden's recent decision to ease restrictions on Cuba.
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Maduro remains in power • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Maduro removed from power • 25%
Maduro agrees to new elections • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No significant action • 25%
Other • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
New leadership emerges • 25%
Edmundo González assumes full control • 25%
Nicolás Maduro remains in power • 25%
Edmundo González becomes president • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Nicolás Maduro remains president • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Diplomatic stalemate • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
New elections announced • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
No military intervention • 25%
Non-UN international intervention occurs • 25%
UN-backed intervention occurs • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
New elections held • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
Moderate support • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Strong opposition • 25%
Strong support • 25%
Diplomatic Relations Improved • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Relations Deteriorate • 25%
Peace Agreement Signed • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Diplomatic intervention • 25%
No intervention • 25%
Humanitarian intervention • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Aligns more with the US • 25%
Other alignment • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Remains aligned with Russia/China/Iran • 25%