Market
Will Phase 2 negotiations conclude without escalation by April 17, 2025?
2
Donald Trump•Joe Biden•Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•Gaza•Hamas•Israel Hayom•Channel 12•Netanyahu•Israel
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from Israeli or Palestinian authorities, major news outlets
Story
Trump and Biden Agree January 17, 2025, to Allow Netanyahu to Resume Gaza War if Hamas Violates Ceasefire Amid Phase 2 Negotiations
Jan 17, 2025, 10:55 AM
U.S. Presidents Donald Trump and Joe Biden have reportedly agreed to allow Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to resume military operations in Gaza if Hamas violates the ceasefire agreement or re-arms itself. This information was disclosed by various sources, including Israel Hayom and Channel 12, indicating that both leaders provided assurances to Netanyahu during recent discussions. The agreement underscores a mutual understanding that Israel could escalate its military response should the ongoing negotiations fail, particularly in the context of the second phase of talks regarding security demands from Hamas. Israeli defense officials have expressed strong support for this approach, suggesting a unified stance among U.S. and Israeli leadership on the matter.
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