Market
Will official talks between China and Taiwan occur in 2025?
2
US•Marco Rubio•Chinese•Wang Yi•Trump•Rubio•China•Taiwan•South China Sea•United States•Taiwan Strait•Wang
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the governments of China or Taiwan or credible international news agencies
Story
Rubio Expresses Concern Over China's Actions in Taiwan and South China Sea, Reaffirms US Commitment to Allies in First Call with Wang Yi
Jan 24, 2025, 05:08 PM
US Secretary of State Marco Rubio held a phone call with Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi on Friday, marking the first formal discussion between the two since the start of the new Trump administration. Rubio expressed 'serious concern' over China's coercive actions against Taiwan and in the South China Sea. He reaffirmed the United States' commitment to its allies in the region and emphasized that the US does not support 'Taiwan independence', hoping for a peaceful resolution of the Taiwan issue acceptable to both sides of the Taiwan Strait. Rubio also highlighted the importance of managing bilateral relations maturely and rigorously to maintain world peace and stability. In response, Wang Yi stated that China does not intend to surpass or replace the US but must defend its legitimate right to development. He stressed China's principled stance on Taiwan, asserting that it has been part of China since ancient times and will not allow Taiwan to be separated from China. Wang urged Rubio to make constructive decisions for the future of both nations and the world's peace and stability.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increased tensions • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Other outcomes • 25%
Peaceful agreement • 25%
Increased military tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
European Union • 25%
Japan • 25%
United States • 25%
Other • 25%
Economic pressures • 25%
Military deterrence • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
International mediation • 25%
