Market
How will China respond to US reaffirmation of commitment to allies in Asia in 2025?
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US•Marco Rubio•Chinese•Wang Yi•Trump•Rubio•China•Taiwan•South China Sea•United States•Taiwan Strait•Wang
Resolution / Starting Odds
Positive response • 25%
Neutral response • 25%
Negative response • 25%
No official response • 25%
Official Chinese government statements and credible international news agencies
Story
Rubio Expresses Concern Over China's Actions in Taiwan and South China Sea, Reaffirms US Commitment to Allies in First Call with Wang Yi
Jan 24, 2025, 05:08 PM
US Secretary of State Marco Rubio held a phone call with Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi on Friday, marking the first formal discussion between the two since the start of the new Trump administration. Rubio expressed 'serious concern' over China's coercive actions against Taiwan and in the South China Sea. He reaffirmed the United States' commitment to its allies in the region and emphasized that the US does not support 'Taiwan independence', hoping for a peaceful resolution of the Taiwan issue acceptable to both sides of the Taiwan Strait. Rubio also highlighted the importance of managing bilateral relations maturely and rigorously to maintain world peace and stability. In response, Wang Yi stated that China does not intend to surpass or replace the US but must defend its legitimate right to development. He stressed China's principled stance on Taiwan, asserting that it has been part of China since ancient times and will not allow Taiwan to be separated from China. Wang urged Rubio to make constructive decisions for the future of both nations and the world's peace and stability.
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Reduction in diplomatic engagements • 25%
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Increased military presence near Taiwan • 25%
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Asia-Pacific countries • 25%
European Union • 25%
U.S. and allies • 25%
Increased military drills • 25%
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Diplomatic protests • 25%
Economic sanctions on Taiwan • 25%
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Other diplomatic actions • 25%
No official response • 25%
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New alliances formed • 25%
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Strengthened relations • 25%
Joint military exercises • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Increased support for China from other countries • 25%
U.N. intervention • 25%
Increased support for Taiwan from other countries • 25%
No significant international response • 25%