Market
Will Cuba remain on the US State Sponsor of Terrorism list by end of 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official US Department of State announcements or website
Story
Trump Reinstates Cuba as State Sponsor of Terrorism, Reversing Biden's Decision
Jan 21, 2025, 02:06 AM
On his first day in office, President Donald Trump reinstated Cuba's designation as a state sponsor of terrorism, reversing former President Joe Biden's executive order from January 14 that had removed the country from the list just six days earlier. The White House announced the decision, which places Cuba back on the list of countries supporting terrorism and reimposes sanctions such as restrictions on foreign aid and economic penalties. Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel condemned the move, calling it an act of arrogance and disregard for the truth. U.S. politicians such as Senator Rick Scott and Representative Mario Díaz-Balart praised the decision, stating it protects national security interests and promotes freedom in the Western Hemisphere.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No significant change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Reversal by Trump administration • 25%
U.S.-Cuba relations improve • 25%
Removal confirmed but reversed • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Removal confirmed and sustained • 25%
Removal blocked by Congress • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
February 2025 • 25%
January 2025 • 25%
March 2025 • 25%
Not by March 2025 • 25%