Market
Will Cuba be removed from the U.S. terrorism sponsor list again in 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the U.S. Department of State
Story
Trump Reinstates Cuba as Terror Sponsor Six Days After Biden's Removal
Jan 21, 2025, 12:32 AM
U.S. President Donald Trump has revoked former President Joe Biden's decision to remove Cuba from the United States' list of state sponsors of terrorism, reinstating the designation just six days after it was lifted. In one of his final acts in office, Biden had removed Cuba from the list, but Trump, upon taking office on January 20, annulled 78 of Biden's decisions, including the Cuba move. The reinstatement on January 21 imposes economic sanctions and restrictions on foreign aid to Cuba, significantly impacting the Caribbean nation.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Not by March 2025 • 25%
February 2025 • 25%
January 2025 • 25%
March 2025 • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Removal confirmed and sustained • 25%
Removal confirmed but reversed • 25%
Removal blocked by Congress • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Reversal by Trump administration • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No significant change • 25%
U.S.-Cuba relations improve • 25%
Positive response from Latin America • 25%
Negative response from Latin America • 25%
Positive response from EU • 25%
Negative response from EU • 25%