Market
How will TikTok's national security concerns be resolved by April 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Concerns Resolved • 25%
Concerns Unresolved • 25%
Sale to U.S. Entity • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Official announcements from TikTok, U.S. government, or reported by major news outlets
Story
Trump Signals He Will Grant TikTok 90-Day Extension, Announcement Expected Monday
Jan 18, 2025, 05:45 PM
President-elect Donald Trump stated in an interview with NBC News's Kristen Welker that he will 'most likely' grant TikTok a 90-day extension to avoid a potential ban in the United States after he assumes office on Monday. Trump added, "If I decide to do that, I'll probably announce it on Monday," indicating that he hasn't made a final decision yet. The extension would provide TikTok's Chinese parent company, ByteDance, additional time to address national security concerns or negotiate a sale to a U.S. entity.
View original story
Similar markets
Unresolved • 25%
Resolved with new ownership • 25%
Resolved with security measures • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Security concerns resolved • 25%
Security concerns unresolved • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Ongoing litigation • 25%
No Changes Made • 25%
Partial Measures • 25%
Ban Enforced • 25%
Security Measures Implemented • 25%
Operational restrictions imposed • 25%
Divestment completed • 25%
No resolution • 25%
Ongoing legal battle • 25%
New concerns arise • 25%
Concerns fully addressed • 25%
Concerns partially addressed • 25%
Concerns remain • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Concerns resolved with new policy • 25%
Concerns unresolved • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Nationwide ban • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Continued operation under ByteDance • 25%
Acquisition by U.S. entity • 25%
TikTok sold to a U.S. company • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
TikTok implements security measures • 25%
TikTok banned in the U.S. • 25%
Partial divestiture • 25%
No changes • 25%
Operational changes • 25%
Complete divestiture • 25%
Government ownership • 25%
Continued ban • 25%
Sale to U.S. company • 25%
Ban lifted with no changes • 25%
Non-compliance leading to ban • 25%
Compliant after operational changes • 25%
Compliant after divestment • 25%
Fully compliant with no changes • 25%