Market
What will be TikTok's status in the U.S. by March 31, 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
TikTok remains operational with ByteDance ownership • 25%
TikTok remains operational with new ownership • 25%
TikTok is banned • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from TikTok, ByteDance, and U.S. government press releases.
Story
Trump Asks Supreme Court to Delay January 19 TikTok Ban to Save Platform
Dec 28, 2024, 03:20 AM
President-elect Donald Trump has asked the US Supreme Court to pause a law that would ban the social media platform TikTok on January 19, the day before his inauguration on January 20. In a legal brief filed on Friday, Trump's legal team requested the delay to allow his incoming administration to pursue a 'political resolution' to the issue. The ban requires TikTok's Chinese parent company, ByteDance, to divest from the app or face a ban due to national security concerns over its connections to China. Trump's move marks a reversal from the current administration's position, as he seeks to negotiate a deal to save the platform once he takes office. His lawyers argued that he has the 'deal-making experience, electoral mandate, and political will' to address the issue after his inauguration.
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Other outcome • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
TikTok banned in the US • 25%
TikTok available with ByteDance divestment • 25%
TikTok remains available without changes • 25%
Banned • 25%
Other • 25%
Divested • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Remains operational without changes • 25%
Operational under new ownership • 25%
Sold to a US company • 25%
Operations continue as is • 25%
Other • 25%
Banned • 25%
Sold to U.S. Entity • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Granted Extension • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Banned and inaccessible • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Sold to U.S. company • 25%
Resumes normal operations • 25%
Operations banned • 25%
U.S. government ownership • 25%
Sold to U.S. buyer • 25%
Partially owned by the U.S. • 25%
Sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Remains unchanged • 25%
Banned again • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Modified restrictions • 25%
Unresolved • 25%
Operational with restrictions • 25%
Banned • 25%
Operational without restrictions • 25%
Other status • 25%
Banned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Sold to another company • 25%
Continues operations without changes • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Fully operational • 25%
Partially restricted • 25%
Banned • 25%
Other status • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Sold to another company • 25%
Operations ceased • 25%
Under new joint venture • 25%
TikTok divested to a U.S. company • 25%
TikTok remains banned • 25%
TikTok resumes operations • 25%
TikTok is sold and remains operational • 25%
TikTok remains operational without changes • 25%
TikTok voluntarily shuts down operations • 25%
TikTok is banned and becomes inaccessible • 25%
TikTok remains operational • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok is banned • 25%
TikTok is sold to a U.S. company • 25%