Market
What will be TikTok's availability status in the U.S. by April 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Fully operational • 25%
Partially operational • 25%
Still banned • 25%
Other • 25%
Official TikTok announcements, major news outlets
Story
TikTok Alerts 170 Million U.S. Users of Temporary Unavailability Starting January 19 Ahead of Trump's January 20 Inauguration
Jan 19, 2025, 03:22 AM
TikTok has begun notifying its U.S. users that the app will become 'temporarily unavailable' starting January 19, 2025, coinciding with the government's ban. This alert signals that the app could cease operations just before President-elect Donald Trump's inauguration on January 20. Approximately 170 million Americans use TikTok, and the app's notifications indicate that Trump has expressed intentions to collaborate on a solution to reinstate TikTok once he takes office. As the ban approaches, users are experiencing access issues, with the app stating it is not currently available.
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Similar markets
Other Outcome • 25%
Sold to a US company • 25%
Banned • 25%
Other • 25%
Operations continue as is • 25%
Granted Extension • 25%
Sold to U.S. Entity • 25%
U.S. government ownership • 25%
Resumes normal operations • 25%
Operations banned • 25%
Sold to U.S. buyer • 25%
Remains unchanged • 25%
Banned again • 25%
Partially owned by the U.S. • 25%
Sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Other • 25%
Banned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Divested • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
TikTok remains available without changes • 25%
TikTok available with ByteDance divestment • 25%
TikTok banned in the US • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%
Operational under new ownership • 25%
Remains operational without changes • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Banned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Continues operations without changes • 25%
Sold to another company • 25%
TikTok remains operational • 25%
TikTok is banned again • 25%
TikTok sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Permanently banned • 25%
New ownership announced • 25%
Temporarily suspended • 25%
Continues operation without interruption • 25%
Other • 25%
TikTok remains operational with new ownership • 25%
TikTok remains operational with ByteDance ownership • 25%
TikTok is banned • 25%
TikTok voluntarily shuts down operations • 25%
TikTok remains operational without changes • 25%
TikTok is sold and remains operational • 25%
TikTok is banned and becomes inaccessible • 25%
Temporarily suspended • 33%
Permanently shut down • 33%
Continues operations • 33%
Extension granted, TikTok operates • 25%
No change, TikTok operates as is • 25%
TikTok sold to non-Chinese entity • 25%
TikTok banned in the U.S. • 25%