Market
What will be the primary reason for TikTok's reinstatement in the U.S. by March 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Security agreement • 25%
Ownership change • 25%
Political negotiation • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from TikTok or the U.S. government, major news outlets
Story
TikTok Alerts 170 Million U.S. Users of Temporary Unavailability Starting January 19 Ahead of Trump's January 20 Inauguration
Jan 19, 2025, 03:22 AM
TikTok has begun notifying its U.S. users that the app will become 'temporarily unavailable' starting January 19, 2025, coinciding with the government's ban. This alert signals that the app could cease operations just before President-elect Donald Trump's inauguration on January 20. Approximately 170 million Americans use TikTok, and the app's notifications indicate that Trump has expressed intentions to collaborate on a solution to reinstate TikTok once he takes office. As the ban approaches, users are experiencing access issues, with the app stating it is not currently available.
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Other • 25%
National security concerns resolved • 25%
Economic impact considerations • 25%
Legal challenges • 25%
No change • 25%
Voluntary withdrawal • 25%
Government ban • 25%
Acquisition by U.S. entity • 25%
Legal Appeal Success • 25%
Other • 25%
Policy Change • 25%
Business Acquisition • 25%
Diplomatic reasons • 25%
Other reason • 25%
Public pressure • 25%
Economic impact • 25%
National security concerns • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Economic interests • 25%
Economic impact • 25%
National security concerns resolved • 25%
Other • 25%
Public pressure • 25%
Other • 25%
TikTok remains operational with ByteDance ownership • 25%
TikTok remains operational with new ownership • 25%
TikTok is banned • 25%
Legal challenges • 25%
Political strategy • 25%
Economic impact • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Regulatory Pressure • 25%
National Security Concerns • 25%
Financial Offer • 25%
Other • 25%
Other • 25%
ByteDance divestment • 25%
Political negotiation • 25%
Supreme Court ruling • 25%
First Amendment • 25%
Economic Impact • 25%
National Security • 25%
Other • 25%