Market
What will be the outcome of the TikTok U.S. ban by January 19, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
TikTok banned • 33%
TikTok granted extension • 33%
TikTok divested • 34%
Official announcements from the U.S. government or credible news sources
Story
Perplexity AI Proposes Merger With TikTok U.S., Valued Over $50 Billion, Amid Potential Ban
Jan 18, 2025, 08:31 PM
Perplexity AI has submitted a bid to merge with TikTok's U.S. operations, proposing the creation of a new entity that would combine Perplexity, TikTok U.S., and new capital partners. The bid comes as TikTok faces a potential ban in the U.S. set to take effect on January 19, unless ByteDance, TikTok's parent company, divests or the ban is delayed. The proposed merger structure would allow most of ByteDance's existing investors to retain their equity stakes and aims to enhance Perplexity's offerings with more video content. President-elect Donald Trump has indicated he may grant TikTok a 90-day extension to finalize a deal after his inauguration on Monday. The bid is estimated to value TikTok U.S. at over $50 billion.
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Similar markets
Ban is enforced • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban is temporarily blocked by Supreme Court • 25%
Ban is reversed by Trump • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
Ongoing legal battle • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Ban implemented • 25%
TikTok sold to non-Chinese entity • 25%
Ban blocked, TikTok continues • 25%
Ban upheld, TikTok shut down • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Temporary reprieve granted • 25%
Ban remains in effect • 25%
Ban lifted permanently • 25%
Other • 25%
TikTok is banned from U.S. app stores • 25%
TikTok wins appeal and continues operations • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok's U.S. operations • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Ban blocked • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban upheld, TikTok banned • 25%
Ban overturned, TikTok operations continue • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Ban delayed, temporary reprieve • 25%
Not banned, but ByteDance divests • 25%
Not banned, no divestment • 25%
Banned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban modified • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Temporary extension granted • 25%
TikTok banned in the U.S. • 25%
ByteDance divests and TikTok continues in the U.S. • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Legal battle ongoing • 25%
TikTok remains available with ByteDance divestment • 25%
TikTok remains available without ByteDance divestment • 25%
TikTok is banned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%