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What will be the U.S. policy on TikTok by April 2025?
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TikTok•United States•ByteDance•China•Supreme Court•Donald Trump•American•CapCut•Lemon8•Lark•MARVEL SNAP•Trump•First Amendment
Resolution / Starting Odds
Policy remains unchanged • 25%
Policy is relaxed • 25%
Policy becomes stricter • 25%
Other policy change • 25%
Official announcements from the U.S. government, news reports
Story
TikTok Resumes Service for 170 Million U.S. Users After Trump's 90-Day Delay Intervention
Jan 19, 2025, 06:05 PM
TikTok has resumed service in the United States after being offline for 14 hours due to a federal ban. The app's parent company, ByteDance, faced the ban due to concerns over its data collection practices and ties to China, which was upheld by the Supreme Court. President-elect Donald Trump announced plans to issue an executive order on Monday to delay the ban by 90 days, providing the necessary clarity and assurance to service providers. This allowed TikTok to restore access to its over 170 million American users and support more than 7 million small businesses. Other ByteDance-linked apps such as CapCut, Lemon8, Lark, and MARVEL SNAP were also affected. TikTok expressed gratitude towards Trump for his commitment to First Amendment rights and opposition to arbitrary censorship, and indicated a willingness to work with him on a long-term solution to keep TikTok operational in the U.S. Trump has suggested a potential solution involving a 50% U.S. ownership in a joint venture with TikTok's current or new owners.
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Regulation changes • 25%
No changes • 25%
Complete ban • 25%
Other • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Regulations imposed • 25%
Complete ban • 25%
Other action • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Other • 25%
Operations continue as is • 25%
Sold to a US company • 25%
Sold to U.S. Entity • 25%
Granted Extension • 25%
Banned • 25%
TikTok banned in the U.S. • 25%
Extension granted, TikTok operates • 25%
TikTok sold to non-Chinese entity • 25%
No change, TikTok operates as is • 25%
Sold to U.S. buyer • 25%
Operations banned • 25%
Resumes normal operations • 25%
U.S. government ownership • 25%
Granted Extension • 25%
Faced Ban • 25%
Addressed Security Concerns • 25%
Negotiated Sale • 25%
Sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Partially owned by the U.S. • 25%
Remains unchanged • 25%
Banned again • 25%
Operational under new ownership • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%
Remains operational without changes • 25%
Ban Enforced • 25%
Ban Extended • 25%
Partnership/Acquisition • 25%
Ban Overturned • 25%
Sold to a U.S. company • 25%
U.S. government ownership • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Ban lifted with no sale or government ownership • 25%
Continues without restrictions • 25%
Sold to another entity • 25%
Banned • 25%
Continues with restrictions • 25%
Other • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
Divested • 25%
Banned • 25%
TikTok available with ByteDance divestment • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok remains available without changes • 25%
TikTok banned in the US • 25%