Market
What will be the outcome of U.S. legislative actions on TikTok by end of 2025?
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Rutgers University•Network Contagion Research Institute•TikTok•American•China•Chinese Communist Party
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ban TikTok • 25%
Impose restrictions • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Ban • 25%
Regulation • 25%
No action • 25%
Other • 25%
Official U.S. government announcements or legislative records
Story
Rutgers Study Finds TikTok Influences American Perceptions of China, With 80 Percent of Content Shaping Views
Jan 6, 2025, 03:49 PM
A new study conducted by Rutgers University's Network Contagion Research Institute (NCRI) has revealed that TikTok's algorithm may be influencing American users' perceptions of China and the Chinese Communist Party. The peer-reviewed research, described as the first of its kind, indicates that TikTok is actively manipulating beliefs through algorithmic bias. According to the findings, over 80% of the content generated on the platform may contribute to this effect. The study has sparked discussions regarding the implications of TikTok's influence and the U.S. government's previous considerations of banning the app due to concerns over its impact on American youth and public opinion about China.
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Ban overturned • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Ban modified • 25%
No negotiations • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Talks collapse • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Ban lifted permanently • 25%
No change • 25%
Ban suspended • 25%
Addressed Security Concerns • 25%
Faced Ban • 25%
Granted Extension • 25%
Negotiated Sale • 25%
No resolution • 33%
Ongoing negotiations • 34%
Resolution reached • 33%
Temporary extension granted • 25%
ByteDance divests and TikTok continues in the U.S. • 25%
TikTok banned in the U.S. • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Regulations imposed • 25%
Complete ban • 25%
Other action • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok remains available with ByteDance divestment • 25%
TikTok remains available without ByteDance divestment • 25%
TikTok is banned • 25%
No change, TikTok operates as is • 25%
Extension granted, TikTok operates • 25%
TikTok sold to non-Chinese entity • 25%
TikTok banned in the U.S. • 25%
TikTok banned in the U.S. • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
ByteDance finds approved buyer • 25%
50% U.S. ownership in joint venture • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok's U.S. operations • 25%
TikTok wins appeal and continues operations • 25%
TikTok is banned from U.S. app stores • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Service providers continue support • 25%
Biden administration assures non-enforcement • 25%
TikTok shuts down • 25%