Market
How many hostages will Hamas release by January 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
0-10 • 25%
11-20 • 25%
21-30 • 25%
31 or more • 25%
Less than 20 • 25%
20 to 40 • 25%
41 to 60 • 25%
More than 60 • 25%
Official reports from the Israeli government and news outlets
Story
Israel's Security Cabinet Approves Gaza Ceasefire; Hostage Release to Begin Jan 19
Jan 17, 2025, 02:02 PM
On Friday, Israel's security cabinet recommended approval of a ceasefire deal with Hamas in Gaza, which was signed in Doha and includes the release of hostages held by the militant group. The agreement aims to pause the 15-month war with Hamas in Gaza. The ceasefire is expected to take effect on Sunday, and the release of dozens of hostages is expected to begin on January 19. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's office announced that the deal now goes to the full cabinet for final approval.
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Similar markets
20-32 hostages • 25%
All 33 hostages • 25%
10-19 hostages • 25%
Fewer than 10 hostages • 25%
1 to 10 • 25%
None • 25%
More than 50 • 25%
11 to 50 • 25%
More than 10 • 25%
0 • 25%
1-5 • 25%
6-10 • 25%
Less than 10 • 25%
11-20 • 25%
21-30 • 25%
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0-10 • 25%
51 to 100 • 25%
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10 to 50 • 25%
More than half released • 25%
Less than half released • 25%
No hostages released • 25%
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10 to 20 • 25%
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21 to 30 • 25%
Less than 10 • 25%
Less than 20 • 25%
20 to 34 • 25%
35 to 50 • 25%
More than 50 • 25%
All 33 hostages released • 25%
No hostages released • 25%
1-19 hostages released • 25%
20-32 hostages released • 25%
More than 10 • 25%
None • 25%
1-5 • 25%
6-10 • 25%
Less than 10 • 25%
None • 25%
10 to 50 • 25%
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11-20 hostages • 25%
21-34 hostages • 25%
More than 34 hostages • 25%
0-10 hostages • 25%
Less than half released • 25%
More than half released • 25%
All hostages released • 25%
No hostages released • 25%