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What will be the status of protests in Seoul regarding President Yoon's impeachment by January 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Protests Intensify • 25%
Protests Subside • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Protests End • 25%
Reports from major news outlets and Seoul police statements
Story
South Korea's President Yoon Faces Impeachment Vote After Martial Law Attempt
Dec 11, 2024, 08:13 PM
South Korea is grappling with a significant political crisis following President Yoon Suk Yeol's brief declaration of martial law on December 3. The situation has escalated with the police attempting to raid Yoon's office as part of an investigation into his decision. The crisis has led to a surge in calls for Yoon's impeachment, with the Democratic Party pushing for his removal from office. Amidst this turmoil, former Defense Minister Kim Yong Hyun, who was detained in connection with the martial law declaration, attempted suicide in prison. The political instability has sparked protests in Seoul demanding Yoon's ouster, and North Korean state media has begun covering the situation, focusing on the protests against Yoon. An impeachment vote is looming, and the police raid on Yoon's office adds to the mounting pressure on the president. The crisis has also drawn international attention, with some observers noting parallels to past authoritarian regimes in the region.
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Protests Subside • 33%
Protests Remain Unchanged • 34%
Protests Intensify • 33%
Protests dissipate • 25%
Protests remain evenly matched • 25%
Anti-Yoon protests prevail • 25%
Pro-Yoon protests prevail • 25%
Protests increase • 25%
Protests dissipate • 25%
Protests remain stable • 25%
Protests decrease • 25%
Protests intensify • 25%
Yoon resigns • 25%
Government crackdown • 25%
Protests dissipate • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Violence or unrest • 25%
Peaceful resolution • 25%
Government concession • 25%
Protesters disband without resolution • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
President Yoon resigns • 25%
Martial law lifted, Yoon remains • 25%
Protests lead to new government policies • 25%
Protests subside with no major change • 25%
Protests escalate into larger national movement • 25%
Protests lead to President Yoon's resignation • 25%
Protests in favor • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
No significant protests • 25%
Protests against • 25%
Majority support impeachment • 33%
Public opinion divided • 34%
Majority oppose impeachment • 33%
Impeachment overturned and Yoon reinstated • 25%
Impeachment upheld and Yoon removed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Impeachment process stalled with no resolution • 25%
Other Outcomes • 25%
No Significant Protests • 25%
Minor Protests Occur • 25%
Mass Protests Occur • 25%