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Will there be significant protests in South Korea over President Yoon's trial by March 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from major international and South Korean news agencies
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South Korean Court Rejects Impeached President Yoon's Objection to Detention Warrant on Insurrection and Treason Charges
Jan 5, 2025, 06:19 AM
A South Korean court has rejected an objection filed by President Yoon Suk Yeol's legal team against the execution of a detention warrant issued against him. The objection was dismissed by the Seoul Western District Court on January 5, 2025. The detention warrant, which remains valid until January 6, was issued following Yoon's impeachment on December 14, 2024, on charges of insurrection and treason. This marks the first time a sitting South Korean president has faced such charges. The court's decision comes amid ongoing legal proceedings, with Yoon awaiting a Constitutional Court trial that will determine his permanent removal from office or reinstatement.
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Protests Intensify • 33%
Protests Remain Unchanged • 34%
Protests Subside • 33%
Protests dissipate • 25%
Pro-Yoon protests prevail • 25%
Anti-Yoon protests prevail • 25%
Protests remain evenly matched • 25%
Protests Subside • 25%
Protests End • 25%
Protests Intensify • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Protests dissipate • 25%
Protests increase • 25%
Protests remain stable • 25%
Protests decrease • 25%
Government concession • 25%
Protesters disband without resolution • 25%
Peaceful resolution • 25%
Violence or unrest • 25%
Yoon resigns • 25%
Protests dissipate • 25%
Protests intensify • 25%
Government crackdown • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
General public indifference • 25%
Mixed reactions with no major protests • 25%
Major protests against Yoon • 25%
Major protests in support of Yoon • 25%
President Yoon resigns • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Martial law lifted, Yoon remains • 25%
No significant change • 25%
