Market
What will be the public response to President Yoon's impeachment vote by January 14, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Protests in favor • 25%
Protests against • 25%
No significant protests • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Public opinion polls and media reports
Story
South Korea's President Yoon Faces Impeachment Vote as Ruling Party Leader Backs Motion Over Martial Law Declaration
Dec 12, 2024, 08:40 AM
South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol faces a second impeachment motion filed by six opposition parties over his failed attempt to impose martial law on December 3rd and deploy troops to parliament. Yoon defends his actions, stating that the martial law declaration was a legal move to protect democracy and vows to 'fight to the end.' The National Assembly is set to vote on the impeachment motion on December 14th, with increasing support from members of his own ruling People Power Party, including its leader who has called for impeachment as the party's stance. Police have twice attempted to raid the presidential office amid a treason probe, with Yoon's security blocking earlier attempts. The National Assembly has passed motions to impeach national police chief Cho Ji Ho and Justice Minister Park Sung Jae over their enforcement of martial law. Parliament has also passed bills to appoint independent counsels to investigate Yoon’s insurrection charges and scandals involving the First Lady. Additionally, former Defense Minister Kim Yong-hyun, allegedly involved in the martial law declaration, attempted suicide while in custody.
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Similar markets
Mass Protests • 25%
Other Response • 25%
Government Crackdown • 25%
Calm Acceptance • 25%
Majority support impeachment • 33%
Public opinion divided • 34%
Majority oppose impeachment • 33%
Other • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decreased support for Yoon • 25%
Increased support for Yoon • 25%
Public opinion remains divided • 34%
Majority support impeachment • 33%
Majority oppose impeachment • 33%
Vote Delayed • 25%
Impeached • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Not Impeached • 25%
Majority oppose impeachment • 33%
Majority support impeachment • 33%
Opinion remains divided • 34%
Vote Delayed • 34%
Impeached • 33%
Not Impeached • 33%
Vote postponed • 34%
Impeachment passes • 33%
Impeachment fails • 33%
Passes with 180-199 votes • 25%
Fails with less than 150 votes • 25%
Passes with 200+ votes • 25%
Fails with 150-179 votes • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Vote Postponed • 25%
Not Impeached • 25%
Impeached • 25%
Impeachment overturned and Yoon reinstated • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Impeachment process stalled with no resolution • 25%
Impeachment upheld and Yoon removed • 25%
30% - 40% • 25%
Above 40% • 25%
20% - 30% • 25%
Below 20% • 25%