Market
What will be the outcome of President Yoon's impeachment by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Impeachment upheld and Yoon removed • 25%
Impeachment overturned and Yoon reinstated • 25%
Impeachment process stalled with no resolution • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from the South Korean National Assembly or major news outlets
Story
South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol Impeached Amid Martial Law and Corruption Allegations
Dec 22, 2024, 02:30 AM
South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol has been impeached following his declaration of martial law earlier this month, sparking widespread political turmoil. The National Assembly voted to impeach Yoon, leading to a tense standoff that lasted six hours before the martial law was lifted. Amidst growing corruption allegations against the First Lady and fears of a return to military-dominated rule, Yoon's presidency is facing intense scrutiny. Investigations into the martial law declaration have revealed troubling links between former Defense Minister Kim Yong-hyun, the military, and attempts to manipulate election outcomes. The Democratic Party has launched a team dedicated to Yoon's impeachment and is meeting with legal representatives to push forward the process. Meanwhile, the police have been actively questioning key figures, including Acting President Han and several ministers, in connection with the martial law imposition. Yoon has been ordered to appear for questioning on December 25, but he has not yet complied with the summons. The political landscape in South Korea remains at a crossroads, with the country grappling with the fallout from these events.
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Impeached • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Resignation • 25%
Not Impeached • 25%
Impeached but not removed • 25%
Not impeached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Impeached and removed • 25%
Impeachment upheld • 33%
Removed from office • 25%
Reinstated without conditions • 25%
Reinstated with conditions • 25%
Case postponed • 34%
Partial ruling • 34%
Other outcome • 25%
Impeachment overturned • 33%
Trial extended beyond March 31, 2025 • 34%
Impeachment upheld • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Impeachment rejected • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Impeachment Passed • 25%
Yoon Resigned Before Conclusion • 25%
Impeachment Failed • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Resigned before conclusion • 25%
Impeached but not removed • 25%
Impeached and removed • 25%
Not impeached • 25%
Yoon resigns • 25%
Impeachment process unresolved • 25%
Yoon is reinstated • 25%
Yoon is removed from office • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Impeached • 25%
Not Impeached • 25%
Motion Fails • 25%
Resigned Before Decision • 34%
Impeached • 33%
Not Impeached • 33%
Impeachment upheld and Yoon removed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Yoon resigns before conclusion • 25%
Impeachment overturned • 25%
Removed from office • 33%
Reinstated • 33%
Other resolution • 34%
Vote Delayed • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Impeached • 25%
Not Impeached • 25%