Market
What will be the status of Israeli forces in Gaza at the end of the 60-day ceasefire by February 10, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Partial withdrawal • 25%
No withdrawal • 25%
Increase in presence • 25%
Official statements from the Israeli government, confirmed by international news agencies
Story
Hamas Agrees to 60-Day Ceasefire with Israeli Forces Remaining in Gaza
Dec 12, 2024, 08:00 AM
Hamas has reportedly agreed to a ceasefire deal that would allow Israeli forces to remain temporarily in Gaza, marking a significant shift in its stance. The Wall Street Journal reports that this concession was communicated to mediators, raising hopes for a hostage deal. The agreement includes a 60-day ceasefire period during which up to 30 hostages, including US citizens, could be released. This development comes amidst ongoing conflict and previous failed negotiations, with both Israel and Hamas considering this latest proposal.
View original story
Similar markets
Re-escalation • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Partial withdrawal • 25%
No withdrawal • 25%
Ceasefire renegotiated • 25%
Ceasefire broken • 25%
Ceasefire extended • 25%
Ceasefire holds • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Ceasefire violated by Israel • 25%
Mutual violation • 25%
Ceasefire violated by Palestinian factions • 25%
Ceasefire holds • 25%
Partial withdrawal • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Increased presence • 25%
No withdrawal • 25%
New terms negotiated • 25%
Ceasefire breaks down • 25%
Ceasefire continues • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire extended • 25%
Ceasefire broken • 25%
Ceasefire holds • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Ceasefire fully violated • 25%
New peace agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire broken, major conflicts • 25%
Ceasefire broken, minor conflicts • 25%
Ceasefire holds • 25%
Ceasefire partially violated • 25%
Ceasefire remains intact • 25%
New agreement reached • 25%
Talks collapse • 25%
Partial agreement reached • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Full agreement reached • 25%
Partial compliance • 25%
Ceasefire holds • 25%
Ceasefire collapses • 25%
New agreement reached • 25%