Market
What will be the status of Iran-US relations regarding the nuclear deal by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
New deal reached • 25%
Talks ongoing • 25%
No progress • 25%
Relations worsen • 25%
Official statements from the US State Department or Iranian Foreign Ministry
Story
Iran's Araghchi Warns Israel and US: Attack on Nuclear Facilities Would Trigger Immediate, Decisive Response
Jan 28, 2025, 07:19 AM
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi has warned that any attack by Israel or the United States on Iran's nuclear facilities would be met with an immediate and decisive response, describing such an action as 'crazy' and predicting it would lead to a 'very bad disaster' for the region. The statement was made in an exclusive interview with Sky News, marking the first such interview since the inauguration of Donald Trump. Araghchi expressed skepticism about the feasibility of such an attack, suggesting that the consequences would be too severe for the region. He also indicated Iran's willingness to listen to President Trump regarding a new nuclear deal, but stressed that rebuilding trust would be necessary due to past experiences.
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Iran develops nuclear weapon • 25%
US conducts military strike • 25%
Diplomatic agreement reached • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Status Quo • 25%
Military Conflict • 25%
Worsened Relations • 25%
Improved Relations • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No agreement reached • 25%
Talks abandoned • 25%
Talks ongoing • 25%
Preliminary agreement reached • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
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Severed relations • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Non-compliance • 25%
Withdrawal from agreements • 25%
Partial compliance • 25%
Full compliance • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increased Sanctions • 25%
Status Quo • 25%
Military Action • 25%
Diplomatic Agreement • 25%
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Military action taken • 25%
Diplomatic agreement reached • 25%
Continued stalemate • 25%