Market
What will be Iran's compliance status with nuclear agreements by end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Full compliance • 25%
Partial compliance • 25%
Non-compliance • 25%
Withdrawal from agreements • 25%
Reports from the IAEA and statements from involved countries
Story
E3 Accuses Iran of Escalating Nuclear Program with 60% Uranium Enrichment
Dec 17, 2024, 09:58 PM
Britain, France, and Germany, collectively known as the E3, have accused Iran of escalating its nuclear program by increasing its stockpile of high enriched uranium to 'unprecedented levels' without any 'credible civilian justification.' This statement was issued ahead of a UN Security Council meeting focused on Iran's nuclear activities. The trio urged Iran to reverse its nuclear escalation and emphasized that the current levels of uranium enrichment, reaching 60 percent, could enable Iran to rapidly produce enough fissile material for multiple nuclear weapons. They also noted Iran's increased installation of advanced centrifuges as a damaging step that undermines the nuclear deal.
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Reduced nuclear activities • 25%
Nuclear program dismantled • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Significant advancements • 25%
Partially compliant • 25%
Review postponed • 25%
Compliant • 25%
Non-compliant • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
New agreement reached • 25%
Sanctions increased • 25%
Military action taken • 25%
Enhance nuclear energy use • 25%
Maintain current stance • 25%
Pursue nuclear weapons • 25%
Seek diplomatic resolution • 25%
Maintain current levels • 25%
Increase enrichment levels • 25%
Decrease enrichment levels • 25%
Other policy change • 25%
Continuation of current tensions • 25%
Escalation to military conflict • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
New nuclear agreement • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
