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What will be the status of Assad regime remnants in Syria by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Complete collapse • 25%
Reduced to minor factions • 25%
Continues to hold some territories • 25%
Regains significant power • 25%
Reports from international news agencies and statements from Syrian opposition groups
Story
IDF Advances into Quneitra to Fortify Buffer Zone, Targets Chemical Facilities
Dec 8, 2024, 04:17 AM
The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) have launched an operation to fortify the buffer zone along the Israel-Syria border in the Quneitra region, following the fall of the Assad regime in Syria. The IDF has advanced into the demilitarized zone, deploying tanks and establishing checkpoints in the Golan Heights to strengthen border defenses and prevent potential attacks from Syrian rebels. This move comes as a precautionary measure to secure the border amid regional instability. Schools in four Druze settlements in the Golan Heights have been closed as a precaution, and reports suggest that the IDF targeted chemical weapon facilities in Syria.
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Regime transitions to new leadership • 25%
Regime remains in power • 25%
Civil war continues • 25%
Regime overthrown • 25%
Assad remains in power • 25%
Civil war intensifies • 25%
Regime change without Assad stepping down • 25%
Assad steps down • 25%
Under Siege • 25%
Transition of Power • 25%
Stable • 25%
Collapsed • 25%
Opposition leader takes power • 25%
Interim government • 25%
New leader from Assad's party • 25%
Bashar al-Assad remains in power • 25%
New sectarian government formed • 25%
Non-sectarian government established • 25%
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Current government remains • 25%
Loss of major cities • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decreased territorial control • 25%
Increased territorial control • 25%
Other • 25%
Still in power • 25%
In exile • 25%
Overthrown • 25%
Maintains current control • 25%
Regains full control • 25%
Regime collapse • 25%
Loses significant territory • 25%
Overthrown • 25%
Still in power • 25%
Resigned voluntarily • 25%
Exiled • 25%
Assad steps down voluntarily • 25%
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Assad remains in power • 25%
Assad resigns • 25%
Power transition to a new government • 25%
Assad is ousted • 25%
Assad remains in power • 25%
Returns to political role in Syria • 25%
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Retires from politics • 25%