Market
What will be Bashar al-Assad's political status by June 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Remains in exile • 25%
Returns to political role in Syria • 25%
Seeks political role in another country • 25%
Retires from politics • 25%
official announcements or credible news reports
Story
Bashar al-Assad Flees to Moscow's 'Beverley Hills', Accessing $2 Billion Assets After Palace Storming
Dec 14, 2024, 09:15 AM
Bashar al-Assad, the former president of Syria, has reportedly fled to Moscow, where he is expected to live in a secretive mansion and maintain access to his assets, estimated at $2 billion. Following the storming of his presidential palace by Syrian forces, Assad's future appears uncertain, with discussions surrounding his potential asylum and the luxury lifestyle he may enjoy in Russia. Reports suggest that while he will reside in a high-profile area of Moscow, often referred to as the city's 'Beverley Hills,' his safety remains a significant concern. Russian President Vladimir Putin has allegedly offered Assad a personal escape route, further complicating the dynamics of his exile and future.
View original story
Similar markets
In exile • 25%
Other • 25%
Overthrown • 25%
Still in power • 25%
Power transition to a new government • 25%
Assad resigns • 25%
Assad is ousted • 25%
Assad remains in power • 25%
Deceased • 25%
Ousted • 25%
Resigned • 25%
Still in power • 25%
Overthrown • 25%
Resigned voluntarily • 25%
Still in power • 25%
Exiled • 25%
Extradited to another country • 25%
Deceased • 25%
Returned to Syria • 25%
In Russia under asylum • 25%
Confirmed injured • 25%
Status remains unconfirmed • 25%
Confirmed alive and well • 25%
Confirmed deceased • 25%
Other • 25%
Remains in Russia • 25%
Returns to Syria • 25%
Extradited to a third country • 25%
No change • 25%
Increased security protection • 25%
Relocation within Russia • 25%
Exile to another country • 25%
Captured • 25%
Deceased • 25%
Remains in exile • 25%
Remains in Exile • 25%
Returns to Syria • 25%
Remains in Russia • 25%
Returns to Power • 25%
Other • 25%
Extradited to another country • 25%
Arrested/Detained • 25%
Stable • 25%
Under Siege • 25%
Transition of Power • 25%
Collapsed • 25%