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What will be the resolution of TikTok's ownership issue by February 26, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Sold to US entity • 25%
Banned • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from ByteDance, the U.S. government, or major news outlets
Story
Trump to Decide TikTok's Fate in 30 Days Amid Potential Buyers, 75-Day Extension
Jan 27, 2025, 02:00 AM
President Donald Trump has announced that a decision on the future of TikTok will be made within the next 30 days. Trump has denied being in talks with Oracle about acquiring the app, despite reports suggesting otherwise. He has, however, confirmed discussions with various interested parties about purchasing TikTok, emphasizing that any deal must benefit the United States. The app, which has 170 million users in the U.S., faces a potential ban if its Chinese parent company, ByteDance, does not divest its ownership. Trump has extended the deadline for ByteDance to find a buyer by 75 days, following a Supreme Court ruling upholding a ban on TikTok unless it is sold to a non-Chinese entity. Potential buyers include Oracle, Microsoft, and other investors, with Trump expressing a preference for U.S. ownership to minimize Chinese control over the platform.
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International ownership • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
ByteDance retains ownership • 25%
U.S. ownership • 25%
Banned by U.S. government • 25%
Retained by ByteDance • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Sold to U.S. company • 25%
TikTok banned in the U.S. • 25%
TikTok remains with ByteDance • 25%
TikTok sold to U.S. company • 25%
New partnership deal • 25%
Ownership Changes to Another Entity • 25%
Ownership Structure is Dissolved • 25%
Ownership Remains Unchanged • 25%
Ownership Changes to Project Liberty • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Sold to non-Chinese company • 25%
Operates under U.S. subsidiary • 25%
Banned in the U.S. • 25%
Legislative action • 25%
Court decision • 25%
Executive order • 25%
Business negotiation • 25%
TikTok Banned • 25%
Legal Battle Continues • 25%
Divestment • 25%
Political Resolution • 25%
Political resolution by Trump • 25%
Supreme Court decision • 25%
No resolution • 25%
ByteDance divestment • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Divestment and restructuring • 25%
Full operational clearance • 25%
Operational with conditions • 25%
Negotiated deal with Trump administration • 25%
Other political resolution • 25%
Legislative amendment to existing law • 25%
No deal, ban enforced • 25%
Sold to another entity • 25%
Ban blocked • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Not acquired • 25%
No acquisition • 25%
Acquired by non-American company • 25%
Acquired by American company • 25%