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What will be the outcome of TikTok's Supreme Court appeal by January 19, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Appeal Granted • 25%
Appeal Denied • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Compromise reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
U.S. Supreme Court ruling or official government announcement.
Story
TikTok Appeals U.S. Ban to Supreme Court Amid Global Scrutiny and EU Probe
Dec 22, 2024, 06:49 AM
TikTok faces an imminent ban in the United States, set to take effect on January 19, unless its parent company ByteDance divests from its U.S. operations. The platform, which boasts one billion users globally, has been embroiled in controversies worldwide, including allegations of espionage in the U.S. and suspected foreign interference in Romania's presidential election. In response to the potential ban, TikTok has appealed to the U.S. Supreme Court, arguing that the ban represents a significant infringement on free speech. The case is set to be heard on January 10. Meanwhile, the European Union has initiated an investigation into TikTok's recommendation systems and political content management, with potential fines up to 6% of its annual turnover if violations are found. The platform's future remains uncertain as it navigates these legal and regulatory challenges.
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Appeal upheld • 25%
Appeal denied • 25%
No decision by deadline • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban blocked • 25%
Partial relief granted • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
No Decision by Deadline • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Appeal Rejected • 25%
Appeal Accepted • 25%
TikTok ban overturned • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Case postponed • 25%
TikTok ban upheld • 25%
Case delayed past January 19, 2025 • 25%
TikTok loses the challenge • 25%
TikTok wins the challenge • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Government wins • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
TikTok wins • 25%
TikTok loses appeal • 33%
TikTok wins appeal • 33%
Case deferred • 34%
Ban upheld • 34%
Ban overturned • 33%
Ban delayed • 33%
TikTok banned • 25%
TikTok operational without changes • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
TikTok operational with restrictions • 25%
Ban overturned • 33%
Decision postponed • 34%
Ban enforced • 33%
Ban upheld • 33%
Other • 25%
Delay granted • 25%
Decision deferred • 34%
Rule in favor of TikTok • 25%
Ruling in favor of TikTok • 25%
Ruling against TikTok • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Rule against TikTok • 25%
Dismiss the case • 25%
Postpone the decision • 25%
Appeal dismissed • 25%
Ban blocked • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
No ruling by deadline • 25%