Market
What will be the resolution of China-U.S. cyber relations by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Bilateral cybersecurity agreement • 25%
Continued accusations without resolution • 25%
Increased tensions and potential sanctions • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Joint statements or agreements between China and the U.S.
Story
China Accuses U.S. of Cyberattacks on Tech Firms, Urges Cessation of Operations Following CNCERT Reports
Jan 19, 2025, 01:59 AM
China's Foreign Ministry has issued a strong condemnation of alleged cyberattacks by the United States targeting major Chinese technology firms. Following two investigative reports from the China National Computer Network Emergency Response Technical Team (CNCERT) that exposed these cyberattacks aimed at stealing trade secrets, the ministry stated that it will take necessary measures to safeguard its cybersecurity and interests. Foreign Ministry spokesperson Guo Jiakun urged the U.S. to cease its cyber operations and stop the theft of commercial and intellectual property. He emphasized that the U.S. should adhere to its own standards regarding cyber conduct and refrain from making unfounded accusations against China. A senior Chinese diplomat expressed Beijing's willingness to engage in dialogue with Washington to establish a cyber relationship characterized by peace, stability, and mutual respect.
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Escalation of tensions • 25%
Formal agreement reached • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Severe diplomatic conflict • 25%
No change • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
New cybersecurity agreement • 25%
Escalation of cyber conflict • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased cyber sanctions • 25%
Escalation of sanctions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Resolution through diplomatic talks • 25%
Military posturing • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Cybersecurity collaboration • 25%
New bilateral agreements • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Other • 25%
Escalation • 25%
Resolution Reached • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Other measures • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Diplomatic dialogue initiated • 25%
Discussions ended • 25%
Ongoing discussions • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
Escalation of tensions • 25%
Formal agreement reached • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
No resolution • 25%