Market
Will China and the U.S. engage in formal cybersecurity talks by the end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from either the Chinese or U.S. governments
Story
China Accuses U.S. of Cyberattacks on Tech Firms, Urges Cessation of Operations Following CNCERT Reports
Jan 19, 2025, 01:59 AM
China's Foreign Ministry has issued a strong condemnation of alleged cyberattacks by the United States targeting major Chinese technology firms. Following two investigative reports from the China National Computer Network Emergency Response Technical Team (CNCERT) that exposed these cyberattacks aimed at stealing trade secrets, the ministry stated that it will take necessary measures to safeguard its cybersecurity and interests. Foreign Ministry spokesperson Guo Jiakun urged the U.S. to cease its cyber operations and stop the theft of commercial and intellectual property. He emphasized that the U.S. should adhere to its own standards regarding cyber conduct and refrain from making unfounded accusations against China. A senior Chinese diplomat expressed Beijing's willingness to engage in dialogue with Washington to establish a cyber relationship characterized by peace, stability, and mutual respect.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Escalation of cyber conflict • 25%
Increased cyber sanctions • 25%
New cybersecurity agreement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Escalation • 25%
Other • 25%
Resolution Reached • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Talks ongoing • 25%
Resolution reached • 25%
Talks failed • 25%
No official talks • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Escalation of tensions • 25%
Formal agreement reached • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
Severe diplomatic conflict • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
No change • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Discussions ended • 25%
Ongoing discussions • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
New bilateral agreements • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Cybersecurity collaboration • 25%