Market
What will be the reason for TikTok's operation in the U.S. in 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Approval of joint venture • 25%
Legal settlement • 25%
Policy changes • 25%
No specific reason • 25%
Official statements from TikTok and U.S. government announcements
Story
Trump Proposes 50% U.S. Stake in TikTok Joint Venture, Says App Worthless Without Approval
Jan 21, 2025, 01:04 AM
President Donald Trump has proposed that the United States take a 50% ownership stake in TikTok as part of a joint venture, allowing the popular social media platform to continue operating in the country. Trump stated that "TikTok is worthless if I don't approve it," emphasizing that without U.S. approval, the app would have to shut down. He added that "the approval gives it value," potentially making TikTok worth "a trillion dollars." Trump suggested that the U.S. should be "entitled to 50% as a country," and that the government could "police it a little bit or a lot." Reporters questioned how the U.S. would acquire this stake, to which Trump responded that the U.S. would be paid half of the value of TikTok for allowing it to continue operations. TikTok reportedly expressed gratitude for the announcement and indicated plans to restore service in the U.S.
View original story
Similar markets
TikTok operates with restrictions • 25%
Banned • 25%
Operational with restrictions • 25%
Operational under new ownership • 25%
Operational without restrictions • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
TikTok sold and operates under new ownership • 25%
TikTok operates without changes • 25%
Continues Ban • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Partial Operations • 25%
Resumes Operations • 25%
Temporarily suspended • 25%
Permanently banned • 25%
New ownership announced • 25%
Continues operation without interruption • 25%
National security concerns • 25%
Business strategic decision • 25%
Political pressure • 25%
Data privacy issues • 25%
Banned • 25%
Sold to another entity • 25%
Continues with restrictions • 25%
Continues without restrictions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Continues operation with restrictions • 25%
Shuts down on January 19 • 25%
Continues operation without restrictions • 25%
Operates independently • 25%
Acquired by a US company • 25%
Ceases US operations • 25%
Continues with ByteDance • 25%
Continues operations • 33%
Temporarily suspended • 33%
Permanently shut down • 33%
TikTok remains shut down in the U.S. • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
ByteDance sells TikTok U.S. operations • 25%
TikTok resumes operations under new ownership • 25%
Operational with restrictions • 25%
Allowed to operate with restrictions • 25%
Banned completely • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Banned • 25%
Remains operational without changes • 25%
Allowed to operate without restrictions • 25%
Other • 25%
Operates with ByteDance • 25%
Operates independently • 25%
Banned • 25%