Market
What will be the primary reason for TikTok's operational status change by January 20, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Biden administration intervention • 25%
Legal action by TikTok • 25%
Compliance with court ruling • 25%
Other reason • 25%
Official announcements from TikTok, the Biden administration, or legal documents
Story
TikTok to Shut Down in U.S. on January 19 Amid Supreme Court Ban Unless Biden Intervenes
Jan 18, 2025, 02:29 AM
TikTok announced that it will be forced to shut down its U.S. operations on Sunday, January 19, unless the Biden administration immediately intervenes to prevent a federal ban from taking effect. The popular social media app, used by 170 million Americans, is facing a shutdown due to a law banning its operation in the United States, which was unanimously upheld by the Supreme Court on Friday. TikTok stated, "Unless the Biden Administration immediately provides a definitive statement to satisfy the most critical service providers assuring non-enforcement, unfortunately TikTok will be forced to go dark on January 19." The company is seeking clarity from the Biden administration and the Department of Justice to maintain the app's availability for its 170 million U.S. users.
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Business strategic decision • 25%
National security concerns • 25%
Political pressure • 25%
Data privacy issues • 25%
Regulatory Pressure • 25%
Other • 25%
Financial Offer • 25%
National Security Concerns • 25%
Continues operation with restrictions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Shuts down on January 19 • 25%
Continues operation without restrictions • 25%
Government ban • 25%
Voluntary withdrawal • 25%
Acquisition by U.S. entity • 25%
No change • 25%
Operational under new ownership • 25%
Operational with ByteDance • 25%
Banned in the U.S. • 25%
Operations suspended temporarily • 25%
Temporarily suspended • 25%
Permanently banned • 25%
Continues operation without interruption • 25%
New ownership announced • 25%
Data privacy issues • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Political pressure • 25%
National security concerns • 25%
Legal settlement • 25%
Approval of joint venture • 25%
Policy changes • 25%
No specific reason • 25%
Banned • 25%
Fully operational • 25%
Partially restricted • 25%
Other status • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Sold to another company • 25%
Operations ceased • 25%
Under new joint venture • 25%
TikTok resumes operations • 25%
TikTok remains banned • 25%
TikTok divested to a U.S. company • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Financial offer acceptance • 25%
Legal settlements • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
National security concerns • 25%
TikTok remains operational • 25%
TikTok is sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok is banned • 25%
TikTok operates with restrictions • 25%
Operational without restrictions • 25%
Operational with restrictions • 25%
Banned • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Operational under new ownership • 25%
TikTok operates without changes • 25%
TikTok sold and operates under new ownership • 25%