Market
What will be the outcome of U.S. trade agreement restructuring by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Major restructuring • 25%
Minor adjustments • 25%
No changes • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Official U.S. trade agreements or government announcements detailing changes
Story
Trump Threatens NATO Exit Over Unpaid Bills, Hints at Ukraine Aid Cut
Dec 8, 2024, 06:31 PM
Former President Donald Trump has stated that he would consider withdrawing the United States from NATO if other member countries fail to meet their financial obligations and treat the U.S. fairly. In an interview with NBC's "Meet the Press," Trump remarked, "If they're paying their bills and if I think they're treating us fairly, the answer is absolutely—I'd stay with NATO." He also suggested the possibility of reducing aid to Ukraine and emphasized the need to restructure unfair trade agreements with the U.S.
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Similar markets
Trade agreements reached • 25%
Other • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Trade tensions escalate • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
New trade agreement • 25%
Increased tariffs • 25%
Trade agreement reached • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Tariffs reduced • 25%
Tariffs increased • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased tariffs • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
New trade agreement • 25%
Escalation of trade tensions • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
No agreement, tariffs imposed • 25%
Successful agreement reached • 25%
Negotiations stalled • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
New trade agreement • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
New tariffs imposed • 25%
Other significant trade policy change • 25%
No change in tariffs • 25%
Existing tariffs removed • 25%
New trade deal with EU • 25%
New trade deal with China • 25%
Increased tariffs on China • 25%
Increased tariffs on EU • 25%
New trade agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Trade tensions escalate • 25%
Tariffs avoided through negotiation • 25%
Tariffs imposed • 25%
No significant developments • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
Tariffs implemented • 25%
Tariffs negotiated • 25%
Trade agreement revised • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%