Market
What will be the outcome of U.S.-China trade relations by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
New trade agreement • 25%
Official trade agreements or announcements from U.S. and Chinese government agencies
Story
Trump Invites Xi Jinping to January 20th Inauguration Despite Tariff Threats
Dec 12, 2024, 09:26 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has extended an invitation to Chinese President Xi Jinping to attend his inauguration on January 20th, despite ongoing tensions over trade and geopolitical issues. This move is seen as an attempt to foster dialogue with both allies and competitors. However, sources indicate that Xi Jinping is not expected to attend the ceremony in person, with China likely to send a high-level delegation in his place. The invitation comes amidst Trump's threats to impose massive tariffs on Chinese goods and his administration's efforts to address illegal immigration and drug trafficking from China. The decision to invite Xi has surprised both Beijing and U.S. allies, given the complex dynamics of U.S.-China relations and the absence of precedent for foreign leaders attending U.S. presidential inaugurations.
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Similar markets
Other • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Trade tensions escalate • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
New trade agreement reached • 25%
Tariffs increased • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Trade agreement reached • 25%
Tariffs reduced • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
New trade agreement • 25%
Increased tariffs • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Increased tariffs • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Escalation of trade tensions • 25%
New trade agreement • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Other significant event • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Other • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
Trade tensions escalate • 25%
Trade agreements reached • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No significant change • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Indeterminate • 25%
Worsened relations • 25%
Trade tensions escalate • 25%
New energy trade deal • 25%
Tariffs imposed • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%