Market
What will be the outcome of Ukraine-Russia peace talks by December 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Full Peace Agreement • 25%
Partial Agreement • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Official announcements from Ukraine, Russia, or international mediators
Story
Trump Likely to Impose More Sanctions on Russia if Putin Refuses Ukraine Peace Talks
Jan 21, 2025, 11:09 PM
U.S. President Donald Trump indicated that he would likely impose additional sanctions on Russia if President Vladimir Putin refuses to come to the negotiating table to end the war in Ukraine. Trump made these remarks during a press conference at the White House, responding to a question about potential sanctions with the statement, 'Sounds likely.' He did not provide specifics on the nature of the possible sanctions. The U.S. has already imposed heavy sanctions on Russia following its invasion of Ukraine in February 2022. Trump also mentioned that his administration is reviewing the issue of sending weapons to Ukraine, suggesting that the European Union should contribute more to support Ukraine.
View original story
Similar markets
Ukraine remains neutral, no NATO membership • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Ukraine joins NATO • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Full peace treaty • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Peace treaty • 25%
Full peace treaty • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
No talks initiated • 25%
Talks collapse • 25%
Partial agreement • 25%
Comprehensive peace agreement • 25%
No progress in negotiations • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire without agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Peace treaty • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No negotiations • 25%
Failed negotiations • 25%
Ongoing talks • 25%
Successful agreement • 25%
Ceasefire Only • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Full Peace Agreement • 25%
Talks postponed indefinitely • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Talks end with no agreement • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Successful peace agreement • 25%
Partial ceasefire agreement • 25%
Full ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%