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What will be the outcome of U.S. military-technical countermeasures against Russia by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Deployment of new missile systems • 25%
Increased military presence in Europe • 25%
Cyber or electronic warfare measures • 25%
No significant countermeasures • 25%
Official U.S. military announcements or credible defense analysis
Story
Russia to Abandon Intermediate- and Short-Range Nuclear-Capable Missile Moratorium, Lavrov Warns of Decisive Response
Dec 29, 2024, 11:27 AM
Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov announced that Russia will abandon its unilateral moratorium on the deployment of intermediate- and short-range nuclear-capable missiles. This decision, made in response to the United States' deployment of similar weapons, indicates a significant shift in Russia's military posture. Lavrov stated that the current moratorium is 'practically nonviable' and must be lifted, emphasizing that Russia will take decisive action against any new missile threats from the U.S. and NATO. He warned that if the U.S. continues its provocative actions, Russia will respond with military-technical countermeasures. This development marks a potential escalation in tensions between Russia and Western nations, particularly in the context of ongoing geopolitical conflicts.
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Status quo maintained • 25%
Other changes • 25%
Decreased cooperation • 25%
Increased cooperation • 25%
Further deterioration • 25%
Other • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
Military escalation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Other • 25%
Deployment of new missile systems • 25%
Increased military exercises • 25%
Cyber defense initiatives • 25%
Withdrawal from Ukraine • 25%
Increased military success • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Increased military losses • 25%
Hypersonic missile attack • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
No retaliation • 25%
Increased airstrikes • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Agreement on missile limitations • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Other • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Escalation • 25%
De-escalation Achieved • 25%
Resolution through Conflict • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Moderate improvement in air defenses • 25%
Significant improvement in air defenses • 25%
No noticeable improvement • 25%
Degradation of air defenses • 25%
Russia escalates military actions • 25%
Peace negotiations commence • 25%
Russia deescalates military actions • 25%
Russia maintains current level of engagement • 25%