Market
What changes in U.S.-Russia military cooperation will occur by November 30, 2025?
2
Vladimir Putin•Donald Trump•Ukraine•Russia•Security Council•Putin•Trump•Moscow•Washington•Sergei Lavrov•United States
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased cooperation • 25%
Decreased cooperation • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other changes • 25%
Reports from the Pentagon or Russian Ministry of Defense
Story
Putin Congratulates Trump, Seeks Dialogue for Lasting Peace in Ukraine, Welcomes Preventing World War III
Jan 20, 2025, 02:29 PM
Russian President Vladimir Putin has congratulated Donald Trump on his inauguration as U.S. President and expressed openness to dialogue with the new U.S. administration regarding the conflict in Ukraine. During a meeting with Russia's Security Council, Putin emphasized that the goal of such dialogue should be a lasting peace that respects the legitimate interests of all people in the region, rather than a temporary ceasefire. He welcomed Trump's desire to prevent a third world war and to restore direct contacts between Moscow and Washington. Putin instructed Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov to report on developments in the United States and stressed the importance of addressing the root causes of the crisis.
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Deteriorated relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Unclear or mixed signals • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Decreased cooperation • 25%
Increased cooperation • 25%
Cooperation ends • 25%
Military buildup • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased cooperation • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Cultural exchange programs • 25%
Military cooperation • 25%
No major policy change • 25%
Economic partnership • 25%
Other • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Further deterioration • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Existing alliances weakened • 25%
New military alliances formed • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Existing alliances strengthened • 25%
Strengthened alliances • 25%
Other • 25%
New defense strategies • 25%
No significant changes • 25%