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How will Russia's diplomatic relations change after lifting missile moratorium by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Improved relations with China • 25%
Isolation from Western countries • 25%
Increased tensions with NATO • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Reports from international diplomatic meetings or credible news sources
Story
Russia to Abandon Intermediate- and Short-Range Nuclear-Capable Missile Moratorium, Lavrov Warns of Decisive Response
Dec 29, 2024, 11:27 AM
Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov announced that Russia will abandon its unilateral moratorium on the deployment of intermediate- and short-range nuclear-capable missiles. This decision, made in response to the United States' deployment of similar weapons, indicates a significant shift in Russia's military posture. Lavrov stated that the current moratorium is 'practically nonviable' and must be lifted, emphasizing that Russia will take decisive action against any new missile threats from the U.S. and NATO. He warned that if the U.S. continues its provocative actions, Russia will respond with military-technical countermeasures. This development marks a potential escalation in tensions between Russia and Western nations, particularly in the context of ongoing geopolitical conflicts.
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Status quo maintained • 25%
New diplomatic initiatives • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Other responses • 25%
Military escalations occur • 25%
Diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
NATO imposes new sanctions on Russia • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Agreement Reached • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Postponed Discussions • 25%
Escalated Tensions • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Severed relations • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Talks lead to de-escalation • 25%
Talks result in new sanctions • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Talks lead to increased tensions • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Unclear or mixed signals • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Relations remain stable • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Relations worsen • 25%
Relations improve • 25%
Further deterioration • 25%
Other • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Improved diplomatic relations • 25%
No change in relations • 25%
Deterioration in relations • 25%
Other outcome • 25%