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What will be the outcome of Turkish threats towards Kobane by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Turkey attacks Kobane • 25%
Turkey retreats from threats • 25%
Diplomatic resolution achieved • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Reports from international news agencies and official statements from involved governments
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U.S. Military Begins Construction of Base in Kobane to Support SDF Amid Turkey's Threats
Jan 2, 2025, 08:41 AM
The U.S. military has initiated the construction of a new military base in Kobane, a city in northern Syria controlled by the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF). This development comes amid rising tensions as Turkey prepares to launch an attack on Ayn al-Arab, also known as Kobane. The U.S. aims to establish a longstanding military presence in the region to support the Kurdish population and deter Turkish military actions. Reports indicate that the construction of the base is a response to Turkey's threats, reinforcing U.S. commitment to the Kurdish militia in the area. The international coalition's involvement was also confirmed by Kurdish sources, highlighting the strategic significance of this military installation.
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Turkey gains control of Kobani • 25%
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