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What will be the outcome of international diplomatic actions against Venezuela by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from international bodies such as the United Nations, European Union, or Organization of American States
Story
Maduro Sworn In for Third Term Until 2031 Amid Opposition Claims of Fraud
Jan 10, 2025, 02:54 PM
On January 10, 2025, Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, in power since 2013, was sworn in for a third term, extending his presidency until 2031. The inauguration ceremony took place at the National Assembly in Caracas, where Assembly President Jorge Rodríguez bestowed the presidential sash. Maduro proceeded with the ceremony despite credible evidence of electoral fraud and allegations from the opposition that their candidate, Edmundo González, won the June 28, 2024, election. The opposition accuses Maduro of refusing to release the official vote tallies, known as actas. The inauguration occurred amid widespread protests and international criticism, including demonstrations on the eve of the ceremony. In his speech, Maduro promised that his new term would usher in a period of peace, equality, and democracy.
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Diplomatic resolution • 25%
No military intervention • 25%
Non-UN international intervention occurs • 25%
UN-backed intervention occurs • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
New elections announced • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
New elections held • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Nicolás Maduro remains president • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
Edmundo González becomes president • 25%
Mediation efforts • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Calls for new elections • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Recognition of González Urrutia • 25%
Sanctions against Maduro's government • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Venezuela increases restrictions • 25%
Further sanctions imposed on Venezuela • 25%
Diplomatic relations normalized • 25%
Sanctions increased • 25%
Sanctions lifted • 25%
Sanctions unchanged • 25%
New sanctions added • 25%
New elections announced • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
González Urrutia recognized as president • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
Human Rights Violations • 25%
Humanitarian Aid • 25%
Economic Sanctions • 25%
Democratic Transition • 25%
No intervention • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Humanitarian intervention • 25%
Diplomatic intervention • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Other • 25%
No change • 25%
Improved relations • 25%