Market
How will the Venezuelan presidential dispute be resolved by end of 2025?
2
Venezuela•Nicolás Maduro•National Electoral Council•CNE•Plataforma Unitaria Democrática•PUD•Edmundo González Urrutia•González Urrutia•Spain•Venezuelan
Resolution / Starting Odds
Maduro remains in power • 25%
González Urrutia recognized as president • 25%
New elections announced • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Official announcements from Venezuelan government or international bodies
Story
Venezuela Deploys 1,200 Troops for Maduro's Inauguration Amid Dispute, $100,000 Reward for Opposition Leader
Jan 4, 2025, 12:18 PM
Venezuela is deploying 1,200 military personnel across the country to ensure peace and security ahead of the presidential inauguration scheduled for January 10, 2025. This deployment is in response to the upcoming swearing-in of President Nicolás Maduro, who has been proclaimed the winner of the July 28 elections by the National Electoral Council (CNE). However, the opposition, grouped under the Plataforma Unitaria Democrática (PUD), has denounced the election results as fraudulent and claims that their candidate, Edmundo González Urrutia, won the presidency. González Urrutia, who has been in exile in Spain since September, plans to return to Venezuela for the inauguration and has called on citizens to uphold the electoral mandate. Amidst these tensions, the Venezuelan police have offered a $100,000 reward for information leading to González Urrutia's capture, accusing him of various crimes including conspiracy and complicity in violent acts against the state.
View original story
Similar markets
New elections called • 25%
Maduro remains President • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
González Urrutia recognized as President • 25%
New elections announced • 25%
González confirmed as President • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Maduro confirmed as President • 25%
Edmundo González becomes president • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Nicolás Maduro remains president • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
González Urrutia assumes presidency • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
Ongoing political stalemate • 25%
New elections held • 25%
Nicolás Maduro remains in power • 25%
Power-sharing agreement reached • 25%
Edmundo González assumes presidency • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
New elections held • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
New elections announced • 25%
González assumes presidency • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
New elections announced • 25%
Other • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
Mediation efforts initiated • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Recognition of González by majority • 25%
Sanctions against Maduro • 25%
New leadership emerges • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
Nicolás Maduro remains in power • 25%
Edmundo González assumes full control • 25%
Other • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
Maduro ousted through international intervention • 25%
Maduro ousted through internal uprising • 25%
Protests subside with González in power • 25%
Protests escalate into violence • 25%
Protests lead to negotiations • 25%
Protests subside with Maduro in power • 25%